UFC Vegas 27: Font vs Garbrandt – 5.22.2021 – Staff Predictions, Picks, and DFS Analysis (FREE)

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Hello Daily Play Action! Welcome to our collaborative coverage of UFC Vegas 27: Font vs Garbrandt. We return to Las Vegas tonight for a fun slate of fights, featuring a very fun bantamweight headliner. Our analysis includes a pick for every bout from Anthony Marro, Nicholas Marro and GB. We also feature write-ups that will provide consideration for building lineups on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

When building your lineups here are a few things to consider. Pricing differs for most fighters making some better value on one site over the other. Scoring is important as well. On FanDuel a first-round finish scores 5x the points as a decision, where on DraftKings it scores 3x as many. Grappling is also scored drastically different as FanDuel awards points for takedown defense and submission attempts. DraftKings neglects those two stats and instead values control time and reversals. This new year, DraftKings has also added a quick win bonus for victories in the first minute as well as scoring for non-significant strikes. Lastly, you will only want to take two fighters from the same fight if you think it goes into the late rounds and expect both to reach value. Optimal GPP builds very rarely stack the same fight but it can be a viable strategy in cash games.

As coverage continues, we will keep our Daily Play Action records up to date. Be sure to check out our reasoning though as records will not reflect confidence, we will be picking all fights regardless of if we are betting on them. I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses if you want to bet on any of these picks!

If you are looking for even more UFC content, be sure to also check out Daily Play Action on YouTube where we have begun streaming breakdowns of most cards.

Current Record

  • Anthony: 113-77-2 (Last Year 223-145-6)
  • Nick: 110-80-2 (Last Year 235-133-6)
  • GB: 103-87-2 (Last Year 216-152-6)

Fight odds are as listed from Bovada and last updated 10:00 AM EST 5-22-2021

Preliminary Card- Starts 4:00pm EST

Damir Ismagulov -650 (DK $9500, FD $23) vs Rafael Alves +425 (DK $6700, FD $8)

  • Anthony: The card opens with this fight at lightweight between Damir Ismagulov and Rafael Alves. He is one of several Kazakhstani fighters on the UFC roster and has looked extremely impressive to start his career. The veteran of 23 professional fights has just a single loss and already wins over Thiago Moises and Joel Alvarez in the past two years. He is an enormous favorite for this fight but rightfully so. These two matched up extremely well with one another at faceoffs yesterday, but when it comes to technical ability the far better fighter is Ismagulov. He has defended every takedown attempted against him thus far and should have no problem winning a technical kickboxing match with Alves in this spot. Alves put together a nice winning streak to earn an opportunity in the UFC, but his resume is littered with mid wins and rather head scratching losses. I do not mind paying up for Ismagulov in what should be an easy win, but there are other DFS players I prefer to build around at cheaper price tags. Damir Ismagulov by Decision
  • Nick: Ismagulov hasn’t fought since August of 2019. However, he’s coming off three consecutive wins under the UFC banner. He is a skilled striker with excellent footwork and many consider him to have Top 10 potential in a stacked lightweight division. Alves is a former Titan FC Lightweight Champ. He throws extremely powerful strikes, but he tends to telegraph them and he throws mostly singular shots or basic 1-2 type combinations. On the regional scene, Alves has shown an ability to score takedowns off his brute strength from a variety of positions. However, at the UFC level I don’t see him having similar success. Alves has solid BJJ, so there’s a good chance he tries to take this fight to the mat. However, that’s going to be difficult here against Ismagulov who has a perfect 100 percent takedown defense in the UFC. On the feet, I see Ismagulov as having the clear advantage here. He should be able to pick apart Alves over the course of three rounds, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he found a finish on him here. Alves’ overall toughness and willingness to eat shots will likely be his downfall against a highly technical striker like Ismagulov. The price on Ismagulov does feel a bit ridiculous. Still, he is the rightful favorite in this spot. Damir Ismagulov by Decision
  • GB: Damir Ismagulov by Round Two KO

Damir Hadzovic vs Yancy Medeiros 

*This fight has been removed from tonight’s card

David Dvorak -500 (DK $8800, FD $18) vs Juancamilo Ronderos +350 (DK $6800, FD $12)

  • Anthony: This flyweight bout has been altered quite a bit since yesterday. Dvorak was originally slated to fight Raulian Paiva in what was going to be a rather tightly contested battle. Due to weight cutting issues, Paiva was forced to withdraw and Dvorak will now fight the 4-0 Juancamilo Ronderos. It is a huge step down in competition for Dvorak and he should cruise to a victory here. The debutant trains at Xtreme Couture and was obviously in close proximity to the UFC Apex, but that hardly makes him deserving of this opportunity. I see Dvorak throwing heavy leg kicks and Ronderos and testing his striking acumen in this bout. He should be able to stuff takedowns as necessary against a primary grappler and eventually find a finish in this bout, his first in the UFC. I will be highly exposed to Dvorak on DraftKings and Fanduel given the price tag. His salary was locked in at-150 and now he is a massive favorite and far more likely to find a finish. David Dvorak by Round One KO
  • Nick: We have a fun scrap here between two interesting prospects at flyweight. Dvorkak is widely considered a future title contender in this division. Ronderos is making his UFC debut here on roughly 48 hours’ notice. Dvorak is primarily a grappler. His striking seems to improve every time we see him fight, but he’s most content to grind on his opponents and use his grappling to control position. If Ronderos had a full camp I think he might have a chance here. However, on such short notice I just don’t see him hanging with a highly skilled and well-rounded fighter in Dvorak. He’s very underpriced for DFS given his change in opponents. David Dvorak by Round Two KO
  • GB: David Dvorak by Decision

Joshua Culibao -25075 (DK $9100, FD $21) vs Shayilan +220 (DK $7100, FD $10)

  • Anthony: This is a very fun featherweight matchup between Joshua Culibao and Shayilan. Culibao is winless thus far in the UFC but is coming off a rather impressive draw last October against Charles Jourdain. It is impressive given his status as huge underdog entering that bout, but digger deeper into the resume of Jourdain I believe we now know he isn’t quite what we thought he was. Culibao has heavy hands and a rather good striking base. It is going to be interesting as he clashes horns with another young prospect here. Shayilan is part of the new wave of Chinese mixed martial artists and I like what I have seen out of him thus far. He is clearly a fighter and not afraid to get after opponents in the cage. I see these two being more than happy to stand and trade this evening, but a technical approach from Shayilan will likely yield favorable results on the judge’s scorecards. I do not believe he can match the power of Culibao but I will take a shot on the underdog here in a matchup far closer than the line implies. Shayilan by Decision
  • Nick: Shayilan is another interesting prospect out of the UFC Performance Institute in China. He is making his UFC debut here, but he’s been extremely active of late. He fought six times in 2020, with five wins and a tough loss to another UFC newcomer in Rong Zhu. Culibao is coming off a draw to Charles Jourdain. He looked good in that spot as a +355 underdog, flashing technically sound striking both offensively and defensively. He did a good job neutralizing the power of Jourdain, and many felt he should have been awarded the win on the scorecards. When you watch Shayilan on film, he still seems extremely rough around the edges. This is a fairly low-level match-up so perhaps the line is a bit too wide. However, I’m siding with Culibao to score the win. Joshua Culibao by Decision
  • GB: Joshua Culibao by Decision

Bruno Silva -400 (DK $9300, FD $22) vs Victor Rodriguez +300 (DK $6900, FD $9)

  • Anthony: Next is a flyweight bout between Bruno Silva and Victor Rodriguez. It is never an easy night when you share the octagon with Bruno Silva. He is a very threatening 125 pounder who has both a good grappling base and rather fast developing stand up. His most recent win was perhaps his most glamorous as he put a beating on hot prospect JP Buys in his UFC debut. With such tough competition already standing across from him, this is a rather easy matchup on the resume of Silva. Victor Rodriguez rode a four-fight winning streak into his promotional debut but got knocked out bad by Adrian Yanez last October. Despite starting as a professional in 2011, he really is young in the fight game and far too underdeveloped to win this bout. He looked bad at weigh ins dropping from bantamweight and was brutally finished against his first real step up in competition. Bruno Silva should cruise here. Bruno Silva by Round Three KO
  • Nick: Rodriguez is going to come out aggressive here. He has power, but I have trouble expecting him to find a home for it against a more refined striker in Silva. Silva is well-rounded with powerful boxing technique and decent offensive grappling ability. He has impressive power in exchanges and he’s excellent out of breaks from close range. Silva has five wins via KO and three via submission in his career. He has a seemingly high Fight IQ and he’s proven to be a tough out at a very high level. He’s coming off an impressive knockout win over a highly regarded prospect in JP Buys, so this feels like a bit of a step down in competition. Rodriguez often overexerts himself when he strikes and he leaves himself open to brutal counter shots. Additionally, he’s going to be significantly outclassed by Silva if this fight hits the mat. Whether via knockout or submission, I see Silva getting it done here. Bruno Silva by Round One KO
  • GB: Bruno Silva by Round Three KO

Court McGee -120 (DK $8000, FD $15) vs Claudio Silva +100 (DK $8200, FD $14)

  • Anthony: This welterweight bout between Court McGee and Claudio Silva is a bit of a headscratcher. These are two fighters now a bit over the hill and lackluster in the cage as of late. I can get down on the 1-5 skid for McGee, but many of those losses came against high level competition such as Carlos Condit, Sean Brady and Sean Strickland. He has at least been testing himself against high level foes. McGee has been staple of the UFC roster since appearing on The Ultimate Fighter in 2010. He is more active, more experienced, and surprisingly younger than his opponent in this bout. Silva has slick grappling and a split decision win over Leon Edwards once upon a time, but his most recent victories really do not hold much weight in my eyes. I see him declining just as quickly as McGee. The size advantage and anti-jiu jitsu of McGee should be enough to get the win in this spot, but this is one of my least confident picks on the card. Do not risk your hard earned money on either of these guys. Court McGee by Decision
  • Nick: Court McGee likes to pressure his opponents. He’s a decent striker, mostly because he can eat shots in order to throw them. He rarely looks crisp on the feet, but his solid chin allows him to find spots that otherwise might not be there for him. He has decent entries for takedowns, and he’s stronger than a lot of the other middling contenders in this division. Similarly, Silva is likely on the downturn of his career at 38-years old. However, his BJJ is still amongst the best the UFC has at welterweight. Not a single one of Court McGee’s eleven professional losses has come via submission. If McGee does score takedowns, he’s going to have to be careful not to get caught in a choke here. Silva is extremely dangerous off his back, and he’s more than willing to let a fight stay on the ground while he relentlessly hunts for that finish. I’m not sure Silva will ever find that finish he’s looking for against a resilient fighter in McGee but I expect him to score the win here. Both of these guys are getting up their in age, but Silva seems to have a bit more still left in the tank. Claudio Silva by Decision
  • GB: Claudio Silva by Round One Submission

Ben Rothwell -360 (DK $9200, FD $20) vs Chris Barnett +270 (DK $7000, FD $8)

  • Anthony: This bout is the featured prelim for a reason as UFC newcomer Chris Barnett will fight Ben Rothwell at heavyweight. It has been a while since I was excited for a Ben Rothwell fight but Chris Barnett is a great draw. The man more accustomed to the superheavyweight limit has surprising agility for someone of his size and stature. He has traveled the world fighting in different promotions whether in boxing, kickboxing, or mixed martial arts. It is hard to trust a Rothwell now pushing age 40, but the size advantage in this bout is a huge red flag. He is going to tower over Barnett and likely use his pressure and size to dominate the octagon as is usually the case. Rothwell has not been the most potent of finishers but after a round of action I do not expect the gas tank of Barnett to hold up. Beast Boy could perhaps find a finish inside of the first five minutes but Rothwell has remained durable in the latter stages of his career. I see Barnett eventually being overwhelmed by the constant, light pressure that Rothwell likes to apply. Ben Rothwell by Round Two Submission
  • Nick: When it comes to striking, Rothwell is at a technical advantage. He’s somewhat slow and plodding, but when he does throw it’s usually meaningful and he has knockout power. Barnett has power as well, but he’s extremely unconventional. He throws more spinning attacks and high kicks than we usually see from a heavyweight. He’s only 5’9”, so he should honestly be fighting at a much lower weight class. Barnett is likely to be the more aggressive fighter here. He has a puncher’s chance early, but I expect Rothwell to clinch up with him and make it ugly. Barnett is fairly durable but taking this fight on short notice we have to question the quality of his cardio in this spot. Ben Rothwell by Round Two KO
  • GB: Ben Rothwell by Decision

Main Card- Starts 7:00pm EST

Jack Hermansson -155 (DK $8900, FD $20) vs Edmen Shahbazyan +130 (DK $7300, FD $11)

  • Anthony: One of the best fights this evening opens up the main card as Jack Hermansson will fight Edmen Shahbazyan at middleweight. I certainly did lose stock in Shahbazyan after his most recent loss to Derek Brunson. He was bullied in that fight and the first loss really did stain his record as badly as one could conceive. He entered that bout a -400 favorite and Brunson is not a middleweight that I hold in the highest regard. It will not necessarily be the power coming back from Hermansson that worries me here but his grappling prowess. Perhaps Shahbazyan has spent a lot of time on the mats in preparation for this matchup, but I would imagine that point fighting Hermansson would be his team’s best approach. The loss to Vettori did not drop my stock in Hermansson much, as he rallied to put on a competitive showing despite being hurt badly in the very first round. A broken orbital completely ruined his chances in that bout and yet he still went a full five rounds. His cardio concerns me a bit given his recent bout with coronavirus, but Hermansson is the stronger man and far superior grappler. I see him locking something up on Shahbazyan early here. If he is forced to stand and trade things could certainly get ugly for Hermansson again here, but I trust the veteran to get the job done. Jack Hermansson by Round One Submission
  • Nick: Shabazyan is one of the more intriguing up-and-comers at middleweight. He’s only 22, but he’s shown elite level striking and a serious ability to finish fights early. While his striking seems to be his strength, Shabazyan is about as well-rounded of a fighter as you’ll find at his age. Shabazyan grew up training multiple facets of the MMA game and his grappling ability is a strength more than it is a weakness. He’s coming off a tough loss to Derek Brunson, but Brunson has recently re-established himself as a top contender in this division. Hermansson is one of the best offensive grapplers in the UFC at middleweight. His style is fairly unconventional, but he has more strength than most do on the mat so he can pull off submissions on brute strength that most others couldn’t. He can look awkward on the feet, but he throws powerful and accurate strikes and he does an excellent job circling away from the power of his opponents. His style makes him a difficult target to find, but he’s coming off a tough loss to now title challenger, Marvin Vettori. It’s tough to get too hard on him for that loss considering he looked solid for the better part of five rounds. Shabazyan is going to have the advantage on the feet here, but Hermansson is skilled enough that I expect he finds the takedowns he needs. Once this fight hits the mat he becomes very live for a submission win, or even a TKO due to ground-and-pound. This is a very intriguing match-up and one I’m certainly looking forward to. Jack Hermansson by Round Three Submission
  • GB: Jack Hermansson by Round One Submission

Bill Algeo -125 (DK $8500, FD $16) vs Ricardo Ramos +105 (DK $7700, FD $14)

  • Anthony: Next up is a featherweight clash between Bill Algeo and Ricardo Ramos. Both fighters here are very well rounded, and it is an extremely tough bout to call as indicated by the odds. I had faded Algeo in his first two UFC bouts but find myself leaning his way here. Ricardo Lamas was a tough opponent to debut against but Algeo had his moments in that fight. In my opinion, Ricardo Ramos fight’s rather similar. He will be able to hurt Algeo if this fight is more of a brawl, but I imagine the size advantage will factor into Algeo’s game plan here. He has all the physical advantages over Ramos and I believe that no matter where this fight goes he holds the slight edge. It remains difficult for me to pull the trigger and actually bet Algeo in this spot though. I trust him on the feet and when grappling, he just remains relatively unproven in my eyes. Ramos has lost to all of his best opponents but I am still unsure whether or not Algeo is on that same level. I recommend keeping your money off of this fight. Bill Algeo by Decision
  • Nick: Algeo is coming off a solid win over Spike Carlyle. He ate a lot of damage early, but he managed to slow the fight down and took over on the scorecards as Carlyle’s cardio started to fade. Ramos is coming off an ugly KO loss to Lerone Murphy. He was outclassed badly on the feet in that spot. Ramos usually looks very sharp early in most fights. Algeo’s striking looks solid offensively, but he often seems to leave himself open to counter-shots. He has a long frame, but he doesn’t fully utilize his reach advantage as he throws a lot of crosses and looping hooks. He puts together effective combos, but he often leaves his hands down too low against good counterpunchers. Ramos cause damage, but he doesn’t throw extended combinations and he has trouble putting volume on opponents, so we often see him fall behind on the scorecards. Algeo has underrated offensive grappling as a BJJ black belt. If this fight does hit the mat he should be able to at the very least hang with Ramos. I expect Ramos to look good early here, but Algeo’s cardio advantages should once again carry him to a win. It wouldn’t shock me to see Ramos pull of an upset here, but I prefer the favorite. Bill Algeo by Decision
  • GB: Bill Algeo by Decision

Felicia Spencer -190 (DK $8700, FD $21) vs Norma Dumont +155 (DK $7500, FD $??)

  • Anthony: Here we have a rare women’s featherweight bout between Felicia Spencer and Norma Dumont. Dumont steps in on short notice here after Spencer’s initial opponent Danyelle Wolf withdrew. It is a move up in weight for Dumont, but she has always struggled to make 135 pounds so that is not an issue. On paper this fight is extremely one sided. Spencer is a true featherweight with a very wide frame. She should be able to power through takedowns and wet blanket Dumont for fifteen minutes here. Dumont has some grappling and could play off her back a bit in this fight, but I doubt she catches Spencer in anything here. After going five rounds with Amanda Nunes there is not much that can rattle Spencer. Her standup is worse than that of Dumont but the likely will not be a factor if heavy takedowns and top pressure is her game plan. Unfortunately, the line movement makes this fight a face. Spencer was appealing at a -150 earlier this week but now is too risky to trust at the current line. The sharp buy on Dumont at open also has me a bit intimidated. Felicia Spencer by Decision
  • Nick: Dumont can look decent on the feet, but she was leveled in her UFC debut against Megan Anderson. It’s tough to really pull anything away from that fight, but she seemed to overextend for a punch that ultimately led to her being Knocked Out cold. Dumont is primarily a grappler who uses her size to wear on smaller and inferior opponents. Spencer is tough with a solid chin. She showed outstanding resilience in her last fight, a loss to Champion Amanda Nunes. She lost convincingly via decision, but Nunes finishes most of her opponents and is widely considered the greatest Woman to ever compete in the sport. Just the fact Spencer survived five rounds in that spot solidified her as having quality cardio and durability. She’s primarily a grappler, but I expect she has a slight advantage on the feet here against Dumont. Dumont throws a lot of volume, but Spencer’s strikes seem far more significant. We often see when two fighters grapple well they end up standing and trading. I expect we could get a lot of that here, and Spencer’s durability should win out over the course of three rounds. If this fight does hit the mat, I see Spencer as having the advantage there as well. Felicia Spencer by Decision
  • GB: Felicia Spencer by Decision

Justin Tafa -185 (DK $9000, FD $20) vs Jared Vanderaa +150 (DK $7200, FD $11)

  • Anthony: This heavyweight bout will be ugly as Justin Tafa takes on Jared Vanderaa. When it comes to technical ability and experience Vanderaa is clearly the superior fighter of these two, but given the choice I would rather step in the cage with him than Justin Tafa. The Australian is just 4-2 professionally but has some serious hands that yielded knockouts in each of his victories thus far. His last bout against Carlos Felipe was a split decision loss that I really believe he won convincingly. Tafa pressures well and is not afraid to trade shots with his opponents at heavyweight. Felipe was unable to keep up with his pace and solely survived by staying upright and pushing forward. The size advantage is not as worrisome for me here. I expect Tafa to keep things on the feet and eventually put Vanderaa’s lights out in this spot. If things hit the mat then all bets are off but I have to imagine Tafa gets back on track with a win today. The power advantage resides with him quite clearly. Justin Tafa by Round One KO
  • Nick: This is a low-level match-up featuring two plodding heavyweights. Justin Tafa had a lot of hype coming into the promotion, but he has been mostly a disappointment so far. He has knockout power, but his cardio is suspect and he hasn’t really shown technical boxing ability on the level of other up-and-comers in this division. Vanderaa should have an advantage here if this fight hits the mat. Tafa is mostly one-dimensional as a striker, but Tafa has never been taken down in the UFC. He’s much more comfortable on the feet and I expect that’s where we see most of this fight take place. I think Tafa gets it done here. Justin Tafa by Round One KO
  • GB: Jared Vanderaa by Round Two KO

Yan Xiaonan -120 (DK $8600, FD $17) vs Carla Esparza +100 (DK $7600, FD $14)

  • Anthony: The co-main event just may be a title eliminator at strawweight as Yan Xiaonan will face Carla Esparza. This is a great matchup as the veteran Esparza rides a four-fight winning streak into this bout. She has continued to develop her standup while still holding a distinct advantage over opponents on the mat. It is likely best for Esparza to rely on her wrestling again here as she faces a credentialed striker in Xiaonan. The high volume of Xiaonan has been winning her fights as she slices through UFC competition. She debuted at the end of 2017 and has been very active since, winning six decisions unanimously. It will be more of the same for her here today if she can keep Esparza on the end of her strikes and out of wrestling range. The size advantage with help with that, but as will her ever improving technical skills. Her time wrestling at Team Alpha Male has prepared her for even the best grapplers in the division. That mixed with her potent striking makes Xiaonan a legitimate title contender. In a card with few confident betting spots, this is a pick I will certainly have some money on at rather enticing odds. Yan Xiaonan by Decision
  • Nick: As is indicated by the betting line here, this is one of the tougher fights on the card to call. Yan Xiaonan is coming off six straight victories in the UFC. This is a significant step-up in competition for her here, but her striking is as good as almost anyone in her division. She averages 6.42 significant strikes per minute, and win or lose, all of her opponents seem to end up wearing significant damage. She does a good job circling away from opponents, and most of the strikes she throws are meaningful. Esparza is the better grappler, but she hasn’t been leaning on her wrestling much lately. If comes in here and fights on the feet, she could be in trouble against a really solid striker in Xiaonan. Whether by her own poor decision making or by Xiaonan’s improving sprawl, I don’t really expect Esparza to find the takedowns she needs in this spot. She may be able to ground her once or twice, but I expect most of this fight to stay on the feet. Xianoan has a solid 75 percent takedown defense. She looked dramatically bigger than Esparza at weigh-ins and while my confidence is fairly low in this spot, I’m siding with the favorite. Yan Xiaonan by Decision
  • GB: Carla Esparza by Decision

Rob Font -115 (DK $8300, FD $18) vs Cody Garbrandt -105 (DK $7900, FD $20)

  • Anthony: The main event takes place at bantamweight between Rob Font and Cody Garbrandt. There is a question as to whether or not Garbrandt can still hang with the best this division has to offer. After nearly a year removed from competition due to coronavirus and alleged opportunities at 125 pounds, Garbrandt makes his return riding high after an impressive knockout of Raphael Assuncao. The knockout losses prior were certainly tough, but I need to see his chin cracked one more time before I am ready to write off the former champion. We are now several years removed from his fight against Dominick Cruz but I could see Garbrandt putting on a performance like that here against Rob Font. While Font is a stud with great boxing, this was a very quick ascent up the rankings at 135 pounds. The win over Marlon Moraes was massive for Font, but we now see clearly that Moraes is on the decline. Perhaps he utilizes his reach and catches Garbrandt in some sort of exchange, but the speed and distance management of Garbrandt makes me really lean his way. While Font is rather one dimensional with his boxing, Garbrandt has a wide arsenal of strikes and should do a lot more to impress the judges than Font can throwing basic combinations. Everyone expects a knockout between these two hard hitters but I would not be surprised to see a more conservative approach from both here this evening. Garbrandt is my pick here as he claws his way back into title contention by knocking off a fighter ranked a bit too high. Cody Garbrandt by Round Three KO
  • Nick: We have an excellent bantamweight match-up here between two of the division’s top contenders. Font is a very skilled boxer with a solid overall game. He’s had a lot of success in the UFC and he’s coming off the biggest win of his career, a first round KO of Marlon Moraes. Both of these guys are primarily strikers, and they’re both extremely gifted in their abilities. Font is likely the more technical boxer of the two. He has excellent head movement, a strong jab and does a good job stringing together effective combinations. Garbrandt has the more proven KO power, and he also diversifies his strikes better as he mixes in kicks frequently and effectively. I expect both of these guys to be content to stand and trade here. Font is going to have a reach advantage, but Garbrandt’s willingness to mix in leg kicks should help to close that range. Font will have the advantage when it comes to volume, but as stated before – Garbrandt is likely the overall more powerful striker. There are reasons to like both of these guys and I wouldn’t be shocked if Font pulled off the upset – especially considering the question marks we have surrounding Garbrandt’s chin. That being said, I’m backing Garbrandt. He’s had more success against this top-level competition and as long as his chin holds up here this feels like his fight to lose. I expect him to utilize leg kicks frequently against a conventional boxer in Font who likes to throw a lot off his lead leg. I’ll definitely have shares of both of these guys for DFS purposes, they’d both score exceptionally in a win. However, Garbrandt is my pick. I’m nervous about his chin holding up, but he should be able to pull away here. Cody Garbrandt by Round Three KO
  • GB: Cody Garbrandt by Round Two KO

*Anthony, Nick and GB play on both FanDuel and DraftKings, and although they express their opinions, they may also implement other plays and strategies without notice