Hello, and welcome to my Week 12 NFL Main Slate Stack Report for NFL Daily Fantasy Sports Contests. My name is CD Hill (@cdhill81 on Twitter), and as one of DPA’s NFL Experts, I will once again make it my job to stress the importance of correlation in your GPP rosters this weekend. As I said last week, there are a few factors that concentrate on this particular strategy and that’s what this article concentrates on. Now that you have an understanding of what to expect in this write-up, best of luck this Sunday winning some green in whatever contests you join, and let’s get down to it!
Note: This is just a heads up. Keep an eye on all of the players listed as Questionable in this article. Only consider going with that player if he’s listed as a starter before kickoff this Sunday.
QB | Matt Ryan (Questionable, ankle) with
WR | Julio Jones (Questionable, foot) and/or
WR | Calvin Ridley
This is probably the safest Stack out of any of the suggested ones I’ll get into on this slate. For starters, Matt Ryan aired it out for 311 yards and a TD against Carolina in Week 11, and seems ready to step it up another notch or two this week against a very poor Tampa Bay pass defense (they’ve given up the second most passing yards and passing TDs this year). Ryan paired up with either Julio Jones or Calvin Ridley seems like a good bet for a solid fantasy day but the more tempting receiver to go with here is obviously going to be Jones since he’s usually Ryan’s favorite target. However, Jones has been in a mini slump in his past two games (only 4.5 catches and 85 receiving yards per game in that stretch) and Ridley is coming off of a game against the Panthers last week where he sported an impressive 8-143-1 line. With the team’s starting TE, Austin Hooper (knee, who usually gets a solid amount of targets), not participating in his game last week due to injury, it was clearly Ridley who got the biggest bump in targets out of Atlanta’s core receivers thanks to him being out of action. Hooper is also going to sit out in Week 12 thanks to his ailment, so Ridley’s stellar play of late might continue this Sunday. Jones, though, still looks due to bust out again any week now since he’s still been getting a lot of targets despite finishing with less than appealing stat lines recently. It also can’t be ignored that he’s been an All-Pro WR for years now, so he could wind up being the Falcons wideout that stands out the most in his upcoming matchup when it’s all said and done. With that said, it is possible both him and Ridley do well in this one, so stacking them together with Ryan isn’t a bad idea either. Overall, you’ll have a very doable Cash game play with this group and a formidable GPP one as well. That’s thanks to the big upside they present (despite the high projected ownership percentages and price tags from Ryan and Jones), but Ryan with Jones is the preferred Cash game Atlanta Stack thanks to Jones’ safer floor while Ryan with Ridley is the preferred Falcons Tourney Stack thanks to Ridley’s much lower price tag. Now, Ryan’s ankle is being rested at the moment in his team’s practices but he should suit up this week and if Jones sits this one out (it doesn’t seem like he will), just go with Ryan and Ridley in either GPPs or Cash game contests.
QB | Russell Wilson with WR | DK Metcalf
Russell Wilson continues to have an incredible season for the Seahawks averaging a superb 25.3 DraftKings points per game and 24.31 FanDuel points per game on the year. Wilson faces a Philadelphia team this week that has a vulnerable secondary that’s been playing much better of late, but but not so good that he has to worry about struggling in this matchup. This is more than a doable contest for him. Now, while it’s clear that his favorite target for much of the year already has been WR, Tyler Lockett (Questionable, shin), this season, one can’t deny how involved wideout, DK Metcalf, has been of late in Seattle’s offense, too. Metcalf, after all, has held his own averaging at least one TD per game in his last three contests and almost 100 receiving yards per game (96.5) in his last two games. While that doesn’t quite match up to what Lockett did in his last two contests prior to his poor showing in Seattle’s last game in Week 10, it’s still been quite noticeable that Metcalf has been getting better and better in his rookie year as the season wears on (he now has a 25% target share). This rookie is also getting an average of two deep passes per game, so he’s a continual red zone threat each and every week and that’s thanks to his awesome speed/break away ability. Overall, whether Lockett plays or not in Week 12, Stacking Metcalf with Wilson is the recommended QB/WR combo instead of Wilson with Lockett. This is because Metcalf costs much less than Lockett right now, has nearly as much upside as him, and has a considerably lower pOWN%. Just acquired WR, Josh Gordon, had only two catches for 27 yards in Week 10, and isn’t predicted to do much statistically to start out with the ‘hawks since he’s still learning their system, but his presence on the field helps take secondary pressure off Lockett and Metcalf. All of this is what makes this Stack a super GPP play thanks to both players’ notable ceilings and is a viable Cash game one thanks to Wilson’s sound floor.
QB | Jeff Driskel with WR | Marvin Jones Jr. or
WR | Kenny Golladay
With Matt Stafford (back) out yet another week, Detroit’s starting QB job will once again be Jeff Driskel’s. Driskel has been a solid start for the Lions (particularly last week against Dallas) in his last two games thanks in large part to this QB’s ability to run the ball at a high level. He is averaging 44 rushing yards per contest, 239 passing yards per game, now has four total touchdowns (one being a rushing TD), and has maintained a 23.26 DraftKings points per game average and a 23.01 FanDuel points per game one. He should continue to put up solid Fantasy numbers this week on the road against a pretty average Redskins D when when you compare them to all other defenses in the NFL right now. Washington ranks in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points allowed per game to quarterbacks. The Redskins also just allowed 26.42 DraftKings and FanDuel points to Jets starting QB, Sam Darnold in Week 11 and are No. 26 overall in the league in pass defense DVOA. Now, the only true uncertainty in this Stack is knowing which Detroit receiver to go with in this slate. Since this QB gunslinger has started for his squad, he has shown to favor throwing to Marvin Jones more so than anyone else in the red zone. Jones has also shown a keen ability to get red zone opportunities in the latter part of the season no matter who’s starting at QB for his team. He now have an eye-opening seven TD catches in his last five games and is tied for the team lead in targets with teammate and fellow starting wide receiver, Kenny Golladay. However, Golladay still gets the title as Detroit’s biggest receiving weapon, long ball threat, and WR1, to boot, but he only had one catch for 34 receiving yards last week. However, he had three catches for 57 receiving yards and a TD the week before. The problem is, he really hasn’t had a standout game since regular starting quarterback, Matthew Stafford, was under center for the Lions back on November 3, 2019. His raw ability can’t be denied, though, so he remains a viable GPP play with Driskel on DraftKings, but not on FanDuel since Golladay costs a lot more on there than on DraftKings. With that said, Jones with Driskel seems to be the wiser play on FanDuel thanks to Jones’ very reasonable price on there compared to Golladay’s and is even a little bit better to go with than him on DraftKings thanks to that same reason. The additional upside to starting any of these guys in DFS Tourneys is their very low pOWN%. All of them have decent upside as well but aren’t the safest Cash game plays at the moment.
QB | Baker Mayfield with WR | Odell Beckham Jr. (Questionable, groin)
Baker Mayfield has five total touchdowns in his last two games, and his next opponent, the Dolphins, just allowed Buffalo’s starting QB, Josh Allen (in Week 11), to go off and sport his season-best numbers on them. They were the following: 256 passing yards, 56 rushing yards, and four touchdowns. Miami now ranks 32nd overall in the league in pass defense DVOA, and they are currently starting a bunch of undrafted backup cornerbacks whose names aren’t even worth mentioning. That news should put a smile on Mayfield’s future DFS owners in this slate and if Cleveland’s starting receiver, Odell Beckham Jr., doesn’t bust out of his slump in this contest in a big way, I’ll be in shock. Beckham may be falling behind fellow starting wideout, Jarvis Landry (hip), of late in terms of how well both are performing in recent weeks for their squad, but he’s still the team’s top threat for a standout game in this one thanks to his overall ability and past numbers (he’s also managed to get at least 10 targets in his last two games). Beckham’s ceiling is high in this slate (100+ receiving yards and at least one TD should be the minimum expectation), while Mayfield’s is decent as well thanks to his matchup combined with his respectable performances in four out of his past five games (he had 19.76 DraftKings points per game and 19.76 FanDuel points per game in that time). Beckham’s price tag is less than ideal and his pOWN% is very high while Mayfield’s salary requirement and projected ownership percentage are doable. Neither have a safe floor but they are prime time GPP plays that could put up nice Fantasy Points totals this Sunday. Finally, don’t be too worried about Beckham’s injury. He should be an active participant in his Week 12 game.
Honorable Mentions / GPP Stacks
(Cash) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB | Jameis Winston with WR | Mike Evans
(preferred Stack) or WR | Chris Godwin
(Cash/GPP) New Orleans Saints: RB | Alvin Kamara with
| New Orleans Saints D/ST,
Oakland Raiders: QB | Derek Carr with TE | Darren Waller
(GPP) New York Jets: QB | Sam Darnold with WR | Jamison Crowder,
& TE | Ryan Griffin
Chicago Bears: QB | Mitchell Trubisky with WR | Allen Robinson
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