THE DAILY PUCK DROP – 3/4/2021 – NHL DFS MAIN SLATE

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Welcome everyone to Daily Play Action’s Hockey content for the 2021 NHL season! My name is Sam Duchesneau and I go by @GronkDFS on Twitter, it is a pleasure to be here with you all again tonight! It’s Thursday’s free article on this NHL DFS 10 gamer! It should be an electric slate with a lot of goals tonight so let’s jump right in!

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TOR1 Cash Stack: Thornton – Matthews – Marner

Fanduel: $21,400 (39% of salary) / DraftKings: $20,900 (42% of salary)

Matthews is back from his injury and he looked great despite not getting an assist or a goal. The Maple Leafs are the best offense in the NHL and it’s mainly because of this awesome, fully correlated line. Tonight they will face the Vancouver Canucks. They own the 3rd worse goals per game allowed at 3.46 as well as having the 14th best PK at 80.4% while taking around 3.90 penalties per game (Top 3 in the NHL). TOR1 owns a solid 36SCCF, 8HDCF, a 63CF%, and a 2.14xGF. They will match up against VAN1 for around 85% of the game. They own a bottom-average 34SCA, 9HDCA, and a 2.47xGA. Those numbers aren’t the worst but they are far from good. In 3 games this season, the Leafs won 7-3, 5-1, and 3-1 against the Canucks. TOR1 has been excellent against them. Matthews has 5 goals in 3 games against the Canucks this season. While this stack should be owned, I believe it is the safest with the most upside tonight.

Other viable stacks: CAR1 (Svechnikov, Aho, and Teravainen); FLA1 (Verhaeghe, Barkov, and Vatrano); TB1 (Palat, Point, and Johnson)

PHI1 GPP Stack: JVR – Couturier – Konecny? (Farabee just announced out)

Fanduel: $19,700 (36% of salary) / DraftKings: $21,000 (42% of salary)

The Flyers are on the road and will be facing the Penguins once again. The Flyers are 5th in the NHL with 3.32 goals/game while the Penguins are allowing 3.19/game good for the 5th worse in the NHL. On top of that, the Penguins have a below-average PK at 74.2% which is the 6th worse in the NHL. The Flyers own a 17.7% PP good for 20th in the NHL. When it comes to line matching, PHI1 owns a 39SCF, 9HDCF, 66CF%, and a solid 2.77xGF. They will be facing PIT1 for around 75% of the time. They own a solid 23SCA, 8HDCA, and a 1.88xGA dating back to last season. Those are solid stats hence why I would call this a GPP stack. Regardless, I expect to have a few pieces of PHI1 in cash. Flyers won 6-3, 5-2, and lost 2-5 in their most recent game against the Penguins.

Other viable stacks: OTT3 (Stutzle, Anisimov, and Batherson); NYR2 (Kreider, Strome, and Blackwell); WPG1 (Statsny, Scheifele, and Wheeler)

Favorite players by position

Centers

Austin Matthews| $8900 (FD) | $8900 (DK)

Matthews is easily the most reliable stud this season and he is once again facing a poor defensive team (Pretty common in this North division). No matter his ownership, he is a must tonight for me. He is nearly a one goal per game player and that is insane. Fade at your own risk but that’s the one stud I wouldn’t keep out of my lineups.

Sebastian Aho | $7400 (FD) | $6200 (DK)

Aho has been quite solid this season but he has had a few stretches of struggling goals-wise. He scored 38 goals in only 68 games last season. That struggle has made him underpriced on DK. He gets a phenomenal matchup tonight against the Red Wings and Carolina plays a fast pace which is always perfect for Aho to break the slate. CAR1 will be Svechnikov, Aho, and Teravainen which was an amazing line last season. On FanDuel, playing Trocheck over Aho is without a doubt a solid pivot. Trocheck is underpriced and has been playing like a stud this season. He is also on PP1 alongside Aho

Honorable Mentions: Scheifele, Couturier, Barkov, Malkin, Tavares, Point, Barzal, Zibanejad, Trocheck, Suzuki, Ryan Strome, Dubois, Hughes, Staal, and Backlund

Wingers

Joe Thornton | $4700 (FD) | $4100 (DK)

As usual, I want an extra edge on the Matthews chalk and I love Toronto tonight. Thornton is on the same line as Matthews and the same PP and is way cheaper than Marner. While Marner is a much better player, Thornton is still able to produce decently for his price tag and he often hits his value. His downfall is that he doesn’t shoot or score many goals but he’s a cheap player facing the Canucks who has 11 points in 12 games, sign me up!

J̶o̶e̶l̶ ̶F̶a̶r̶a̶b̶e̶e̶|̶ ̶$̶5̶5̶0̶0̶ ̶(̶F̶D̶)̶ ̶|̶ ̶$̶6̶3̶0̶0̶ ̶(̶D̶K̶)̶ ̶

Farabee is out. I expect Konecny or Voracek to take his spot. Similar plays I like in his price range are Svechnikov, Teravainen, Rust or Palat on FanDuel. On DraftKings I like Svechnikov, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Rust or Connor. See other option listed below.

Honorable Mentions: Stamkos, Marner, Guentzel, Huberdeau, Wheeler, Connor, Nylander, Kreider, JVR, Brady Tkachuk, Toffoli, Ehlers, Teravainen, Svechnikov, Palat, Rust, Statsny, Batherson, Killorn, Kapanen, Necas, Stuetzle, Johnson, Verhaeghe, Hornqvist, Vatrano, and Tolvanen

Defenseman

Dougie Hamilton | $5200 (FD) | $6800 (DK)

Dougie is always chalk even in tougher matchups. Tonight, he gets an amazing matchup so expect him to be 50% or more. I would roster him on FanDuel and he is well priced for this matchup. On DraftKings, I would fade him as this price tag is way too high. He doesn’t hit the BS bonus and rarely hits the shot bonus. I would pay down for two solid value defensemen on DraftKings.

Adam Fox | $4700 (FD) | $6600 (DK)

It seems like every defenseman is a bit underpriced on FanDuel and beyond overpriced on DraftKings. Either way, Fox has a solid floor and he can get points. He is also not worth it on DraftKings tonight. The matchup is great on the PP though since NJ owns the worst PK in the NHL. My cheaper defenseman would be Yandle, Morrisey, Severson, Tanev (BS bonus), Weegar, Boqvist, and McDonagh

Honorable Mentions: Hedman, Josi, Petry, Letang, Rielly, Chabot, Ekblad, Weber, Yandle, Morrisey, McDonagh, Pesce, Subban, Severson, Gostibehere, Slavin, Weegar, and Ty Smith

Goaltenders

Alex Nedeljkovic | $7800 (FD) | $8200 (DK)

I tried to pronounce his name but man it was not easy. Anyways, he has been solid for Carolina thus far. Detroit’s offense is 2nd worst in the NHL and bottom 10 defensively. Carolina is top 10 offensively and 11th defensively. The win is safe here!

Andrei Vasilevskiy | $8800 (FD) | $8500 (DK)

Vasy has three straight shutouts and he has been phenomenal that he is nearly locked for the Vezina trophy already with only a third of the season done. Unreal. The Hawks can score but Tampa too and Tampa is much better defensively. He is also an extremely safe option tonight.

Honorable Mentions: Varlamov, Andersen, Hellebuyck, Elliot, and Shersterkin

Recap

Don’t forget to check Twitter (DailyFaceoff) for warmup line rushes to gain an edge on your competition! TOR1, PHI1, CAR1, NYR2, TB1, TB2, OTT3, TOR2, FLA1, FLA2, and NYI1 are what I will be targeting tonight! Good luck!

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