The Daily Diamond – 7.14 – Free KBO Slate Breakdown – FanDuel and DraftKings

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Hey Playmakers!!! Nick Marro here with my KBO Breakdown for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Until the MLB returns, my focus will be on the Korean Baseball League. In addition to my Core-5 for each site, I’ve also provided you with my top Pitchers and Stacks for tonight/today’s slate which locks at 5:30 AM EST on DraftKings and  FanDuel.

It’s been a while since we’ve had any Baseball DFS, so it’s important to remember the following. Stacks win tournaments, there’s a ton of variability, and variance can be your friend as ownership is often correlated to the lines/odds in Vegas. I recommend starting any line-up with a hitter stack and then building from there. We don’t yet have the quality Sabermetrics we do for the MLB, so we’re stuck relying on some older metrics in some cases. Regardless, it’s going to take some time to get used to this new league. The slate locks at 5:30 AM EST on both sites, so set an alarm if you’re playing for a lot of money and make sure your guys are in the line-up. If you have a recommendation for what you’d like to see in this article, just let me know!!!

***SLATE NOTE***: There is still a lot of rain in the forecast for Korea. I expect all 5 games get in tonight but be sure to keep an eye on things as we lead into lock. KIA @ Sam seems the riskiest, followed by LG @ LOT.

Top Pitchers
Dan Straily/Lotte Starting P ($10,100/$23): It’s a tough match-up on paper for Straily here, but he’s been so good this season that he’s tough to avoid. He comes into this start with an excellent 3.01 FIP as well as an excellent 9.40 K/9. He contained these Twins on 6/12, holding them to just 1 ER and striking out 7 over 7.1 IP. The FanDuel price on him is WAY too low. He’s expensive on DraftKings, but his upside is as good as anyone’s on this slate. He’s a near-lock on FanDuel, but I’ll have plenty of exposure on DraftKings as well. It’s a tough spot, but I expect him to thrive here.

Odrisamer Despaigne/KT Starting P ($8,100/$26): He’s not the most talented SP on this slate. However, Despaigne comes into this one with a decent 7.0 K/9 and a serviceable 4.18 FIP. He tends to get hit around a bit in each start, but he does a good job limiting damage and pitching deep into games. He’s gone 6+ IP in each of his last 5 starts. Hanwha remains one of the worst lineups in the league and oddsmakers only have them pegged for a 3.5 Implied total here. He’s priced reasonably enough on both sites that he should be able to hit value here even if he allows a run or two. I like him on both sites in any format.

David Buchanan/Samsung Starting P ($7,900/$25): We’re going to have to keep an eye on the weather in this one, but if it goes then Buchanan is a strong add to your Pitcher pool. He allowed only 1 ER in each of his last two starts and while he can be inconsistent, he’s excellent when he’s on. Kia has a handful of good bats in their lineup, but they’re an average team by any estimation. He’s not a top priority for me on this slate, but he’s viable everywhere.

Also Consider: Casey Kelly/LG Starting P

Top Stacks (and who I’m targeting):
Note: Just like in MLB DFS, stacking is extremely important. Since the KBO has far fewer HRs than the MLB, ‘small ball’ can be your friend. Your one-off plays should either be excellent value – or guys with raw power (or stolen base) potential. Try your best to stack and double-stack using the following teams. From there feel free to use one-offs.

Kiwoom Heroes (KIW): The Dinos may be favored in this one, but these Kiwoom bats should not be overlooked. Jae-Hak Lee really hasn’t shown much of anything this season, coming into this one with a shaky 4.91 FIP and allowing 3+ ER in 4 straight starts.  If Kiwoom can get to Lee here, they’ll then face an NC Dinos bullpen that currently sports the worst FIP in the KBO at 5.50. Byung-Ho Park (1B) is once again one of my favorite bats on the slate.  He seems to be heating up again with 3 HRs across his last 7 games.. He’s my favorite piece of any Kiwoom stack given his price, but after that I’m excited to get some exposure to Jung-Hoo Lee (OF) and Dong-won Park (C).  Lee is expensive, but both of these guys have multi-HR upside – which is extremely rare in this league. Dong-won Park is way too cheap on FanDuel and a borderline Core play.  Finally healthy, Ha-Seong Kim (SS) is an excellent (but expensive) option here as well. He has a lot of power and in terms of raw point potential he’s one of the best shortstops in the KBO. Keon-Chang Seo (OF) and with Hye-Sung Kim (2B/SS) are both serviceable value options if you’re having trouble making things fit. Neither has the upside of the expensive guys, but point-per-dollar they’re both excellent. If you’re digging for additional value, I’m fine with Byung-Woo Jeon (3B) or Joon-Tae Park (OF). Just be sure they’re in the line-up prior to lock. These guys have let us down a few times already this season, but the spot here feels excellent.

KT Wiz (KTW):  Warwick Saupold continues to struggle, having allowed a total of 13 ER across his last three starts. While he has looked decent at times this season, it seems very evident to me that he’s not the type of pitcher we need to avoid stacking against. I expect his struggles to continue tonight in this match-up with the KT Wiz. KTW has a lot of upside in their line-up starting with monster bats like Mel Rojas Jr. (OF), Baek-Ho Kang (1B/OF) and Jae-Gyn Hwang (3B). Any stack I build of KTW will start with all three of these guys (as long as I can afford them). All three have true multi-HR potential, which is a rarity in this league. Rojas and Kang’s ISOs both sit over .280 and Hwang is finally heating up after a cold start to the season. Kyung-Soo Park (2B) and Jeong-Dae Bae (OF) comprise a second-tier of KTW bats I’m targeting. Both of these guys are far too cheap given their upside if this stack goes off. If I need additional value here I’m targeting Han-Joon Yoo (1B) and Young-Ho Jo (OF) who should both be in the line-up and affordable on both sites. Secondary value targets here include Catcher Sung-Woo Jang (C) at the bottom of this order. I don’t expect these Wiz to be as chalky as some of the other options we have on this slate, but their upside is exceptional. There’s a chance we see Saupold bounce back soon, but I’m willing to bet that it isn’t tonight he turns the corner.

NC Dinos (NCD): On paper this doesn’t look like that great of a spot for the Dinos. Jake Brigham is a quality SP, but this is his first start back from injury and he isn’t fully stretched out. He only threw 3 Innings in his rehab start, so I have trouble expecting he can get to 5 IP here. I expect Brigham to struggle a bit, but another reason to like NC is that the Kiwoom bullpen is totally taxed right now. They are one of only 4 teams that played last night and their SP lasted only 2 Innings. The Dinos could break the slate if they can get on Brigham early. Eui-ji Yang (C) and Sung Bum Na (OF) are my two favorite bats to target here. They’re both on the pricey end, but they’re two of the best hitters in the entire league. Each of these guys has enough talent/ability to make an MLB roster if they were given the chance. I’ll squeeze in as much of them as possible here. Suk-min Park (3B) and Aaron Altherr (OF) are my third and fourth favorite options from this team. Park has consistently produced all season towards the top of this order and remains one of the more reasonably priced parts of this stack. Altherr has shown that no matter where he hits in this order, he can rack up fantasy points. He leads the Dinos in RBIs, and I’m happy to get to him on either site. After that, I like Jin-Sung Kang (OF) as lower-owned but still high-upside play and another outfielder in Hee-Dong Kwon (OF). Kwon has recently been utilized as an everyday player and at his current price point, he’s one of the better plays on this team. He provides a lot of power upside at an extreme discount. Min-woo Park (2B) and Jin-Hyuk No (SS) are my preferred “value” options in the infield.

Also Consider: Doosan Bears, Samsung Lions

DraftKings Cash Core
SP – Dan Straily (LOT) $10,100
SP2 – Odrisamer Despaigne (KTW) $8,100
1B – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $4,500
1B/2B – Keon-Chang Seo (KIW) $4,400
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,800
OF – Baek-Ho Kang (KTW) $5,300

FanDuel Cash Core
SP – Lotte Starting P (LOT) $23
IF – Dong-Won Park (KIW) $9
IF – Byung-Ho Park (KIW) $14
OF – Mel Rojas Jr. (KTW) $17
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $9

Top Value Plays on DraftKings (no particular order):
3B/OF – Tyler Saladino (SAM) $4,600
2B – Joon-Woo Choi (SKW) $2,500
OF – Hee-Dong Kwon (NCD) $2,800
OF – Jeong-Dae Bae (KTW) $3,200
OF – Young-Ho Jo (KTW) $2,700

Top Value Plays on FanDuel (no particular order):
IF – Sang-Su Kim (SAM) $8
IF – Eu-Ji Yang (NCD) $13
IF – Suk-Min Park (NCD) $10
OF – Young-Ho Jo (KTW) $8
OF – Ji-Hoon Choi (SKW) $5

BONUS BEST BETS:     (69-44)
KT Wiz RL -1.5 (-115)
Lotte RL -1.5 (+105)
NC Dinos @ Kiwoom Heroes OVER 10.5 (-130)

Nick Marro is a DailyPlayAction MLB expert and MLB Team Lead. He shares his player research/projections for KBO on DraftKings and FanDuel. Nick plays on both sites himself, and although he expresses his opinions, he may implement other plays and strategies without notice. Follow him on Twitter @NickMarroDFS.