Here at the DailyPlayAction, we mourn our losses, and toast our wins.
Lucky for me, the primetime slate on DK landed me in the Top 100 after a roller coaster of an ending in the Redskins-Chiefs game. Our goal at the DPA is to make sure both daily fantasy lords and peasants have the tools, analysis and research necessary to reach the “green” on any given slate. So with that being said, lets evaluate the specs of how this weekend unfolded and ultimately packed some quick coin into my wallet.
Contest: NFL $250K BOOTLEG [$25K TO 1ST] (PRIMETIME)
Entry Fee: $33
Total Contestants: 8,218
Finishing Position: 60th
Not pictured: Seahawks D/ST: 20.00 DK Points
As I usually do on Sundays, I evaluate each and every game, testing the waters of opportunity on a matchup by matchup approach. After seeing that I had been having increasing success on smaller slate GPPs, I identified the 250K Bootleg on DK’s primetime slate as my contest of choice. The rule of thumb, according to many savage DFS players in 2 game GPPs is to: “play the best players on the board.” While this statement remains true on many fronts, I think it is only partially correct. To see what I mean, take a gander into my piece on player ownership percentages
The two games we had to choose from on the Week 4 primetime slate were:
Indianapolis at Seattle
Washington at Kansas City
In the Indy-Seattle game, I had a strong feeling that game script would play a large factor in the outcome of the game. The Seahawks are a notoriously dominant at CenturyLink field, however had been struggling recently. Still, I knew that facing a vulnerable Indianapolis defense at home would yield an opportunity for Russell Wilson to absolutely crush – and crush is what newly unvirginized Russell Wilson did. Thank you Ciara for removing this man’s seed once and for all, and for liberating him enough to yield me nearly 30 DK points. You are truly a delight.
After throwing DangerRuss into my lineup (weakest self-given nickname in all time) my next thought was – dare I stack him with a highly priced Douglas Dewayne Baldwin Jr? Or would it make more sense to settle for a cheaper option with upside?
I went with Tyler Lockett who is a dual threat fast-as-fuck WR2 and dangerous return man. I used a triple correlation by taking Lockett and stacked him with the Seahawks defense and Chris Carson. My thoughts were that Seattle would control the clock with their defense and running game, and parlayed this hoping that Lockett could somehow return a kick to the house. Not all of this happened, but the thought of it all going down at once got me harder than a prep boy at his first high school dance. The Carson-Lockett-Seattle D/ST correlation netted me a total of 42.7 DK points – not too shabby for a super value stack.
Despite the lack of aptitude in anything Indianapolis does without Andrew Luck, I saw Donte Moncrief glaring at me at under 4K. Moncrief was in a plus matchup with a cornerback not named Richard Sherman, so he was a lock on my squad and reeled in Indy’s lone touchdown. Lucky me.
Before I hop into the Washington – KC game, I want to mention cave dweller Luke Willson – a favorite to perform at home – who scored me a touchdown on a single game reception at 8% ownership. That play was HUGE, and ultimately gave me hope.
Going into Monday night’s game, I knew I had a shot.
The players I had remaining were some of the slate’s best in Kareem Hunt, Travis Kelce and *cough cough* Ryan Grant.
Going into this game, I wanted to avoid Tyreek Hill like the plague as I knew he would most likely draw coverage from two good-to-great corners in Bashaud Breeland and Josh Norman. I also was sure that I couldn’t trust Terrelle Pryor (bum) or Jamison Crowder (injury) against a secondary led by Marcus Peters. Sure enough Pryor scored, but didn’t do enough damage to hurt me in the end.
I needed Hunt and Kelce to perform as their usual subhuman selves, and a good game from Grant to be in the running, and that’s exactly what I got.
Picking Kelce and Hunt were two of the easier decisions I made, but I struggled with it initially as I knew everyone would be on Hunt especially. The thought on cashing in on 25% of the field that didn’t own the KC stud rookie was very appealing, but I couldn’t budge. Ultimately, Kareem repaid me with a 100 yd+ effort, that could have been better if Alex Smith didn’t vulture a TD from him on a 3rd and Goal QB sneak from the 1 yard line, bastard.
As for Kelce, my other options were Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis, Jack Doyle and Jimmy Graham. Reed came into the game injured, while Graham has been somewhat inconsistent recently. I did like Vernon Davis, but was concerned with his overall viability as he would have to split time with Reed. Doyle let me down so bad in a cupcake matchup with the Browns last week that I cursed him out of my pool. I was left with essentially a WR1 player in tight end Travis Kelce, who had a favorable matchup at Arrowhead, and a pass heavy game script in his favor in what I thought would be a shootout. A shootout it was, and Travis was at the center of it with 27+ DK points.
The last player I want to mention is coach’s pet and Washington Redskins 3rd receiver Ryan Grant. Grant has seen an sneaky amount of playing time in the first few weeks, and a decent amount of targets (15) through the first 4 games of the season. Long story short, my boy Ry caught a glorious TD in the second quarter to toss me about 750 spots up the ladder (17% ownership) and into the top 100.
The closest I got to the 25K top prize.
The above score was the closest I got to tasting victory, before all hope was lost when Kareem Hunt failed to get in the end zone, and some delinquent named Albert Wilson caught a 37 yard pace to slice me in half ($500 to $250) on the Chiefs final drive. That catch hurt me a lot.
Nonetheless, a lot can be said for a little strategy and a small slate. On Tuesday morning I woke up with $250 dollars, and a success story to share.
The DailyPlayAction encourages success stories to be shared and celebrated with the DPA community. Please submit any positive outcomes in DraftKings for us for review, and we will be sure to share!