NCAA Basketball – 11.28.2020 – Best Bets for Saturday’s College Hoops (Free)

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Hello Daily Play Action! Anthony Marro here happy to share my NCAA Men’s Basketball picks for the college hoops season. Over the past two years I provided readers with over 800 bets and have done exceptionally well to start the season. Betting write-ups will posted exclusively on DPA almost every day, but be sure to follow my Twitter too so you won’t miss a pick on days with abbreviated slates. And if you want to try out a website to bet on my picks, I highly recommend using Bovada for their user-friendly format and awesome deposit bonuses!

  • Overall Record: 445-390-17
  • Season Record: 11-3-1

South Carolina State vs Bowling Green, Over 148.5

  • We start the day with a total that just seems too low. Bowling Green should really be able to score on most of their possessions today. Putting up 82 points against a team like Michigan makes me very confident they can break the 90-point threshold against one as bad as South Carolina State
  • The Bulldogs are one of the weakest programs in college basketball. This team is very unbalanced and composed primarily of freshman and sophomores. Of all their weaknesses perhaps their most glaring is defense inside the paint where Bowling Green should thrive today
  • Seniors Justin Turner and Daeqwon Plowden will lead the charge for Bowling Green. The two combined for nearly 40 points in their first contest and could replicate that here if their minutes are not lowered. However, the Falcons have a deep enough bench to cash the over even if their starters are pulled late

Drexel vs Pittsburgh, Over 149

  • Pittsburgh really fell flat in their season opener, losing 80-70 against the Northeast conference’s Saint Francis. This is a game they will certainly need to get up for against a Drexel team playing with nothing to lose. The winner will likely have close to 80 points here cashing a comfortable over bet
  • That loss to Saint Francis had also come on one of the Panther’s worst shooting performances in recent memory. Pittsburgh went an abysmal 6-24 beyond the arc. Au’Diese Toney was the only hot shooter. I expect his teammates start to catch up to him in this one
  • Jeff Capel has not been one to play up tempo basketball since taking over at the helm of Pittsburgh, but the team’s Wednesday performance tells another story. The Panthers held the ball for just 14.3 seconds per offensive possession. At that tempo it is hard to imagine this being a low scoring game

Louisiana State +2.5 at Saint Louis

  • Is this a pick with my heart or my brain? While I take LSU almost every game they play, this is a spot I actually like their chances. Their offense is still one of the best in the entire country and I do not think the Billikens will be able to hang for a full forty minutes with them
  • Cameron Thomas was a consensus five-star recruit and one of the best shooting guards in the 2020 class. On Thursday, he put up 27 points in his collegiate debut. Pairing him with Javonte Smart in the backcourt makes LSU a problem for even the best defensive teams to handle
  • When facing Quadrant I and II teams over the past three seasons, Saint Louis is 11-20 straight up. Meanwhile, Will Wade and the Tigers play in one of the toughest conferences year in and year out. If LSU enters today with an improved defensive game plan, I think they cover and perhaps win outright

Cal State Northridge vs Air Force, Under 144

  • My first under bet of the season comes in a great spot. Cal State Northridge may not win another game all season after their victory over Division III Westmont on Wednesday. Getting outscored in the second half by this liberal arts college tells you all you need to know about this offense
  • This is the first game for Air Force under new, old head coach Joe Scott. He was previously head coach for Air Force from 2000 to 2005. Over the course of his career whether it be at Denver, Princeton or Air Force you will notice he plays one of the slowest tempos in the entire country
  • Not only will the pace of play be slow in this game but the quality should be as well. Neither one of these teams are all that good on either side of the ball so I am expecting a very sloppy game. The winner will likely top 70 points here but not by very much at all

Old Dominion -13 vs William & Mary

  • Old Dominion dropped their season opener to Maryland, but I think you can throw that performance out the window. The Monarchs were not able to play their style of basketball and instead had to chase Maryland from the jump. I can guarantee you they do not go 6-33 from beyond the arc today
  • William and Mary is a very undersized team that struggle to stop anyone on the defensive side of the ball. Their offense will struggle severely against Old Dominion inside the pain and I could see the Tribe being held to under 60 points in a lopsided defeat here
  • Neither of these teams play very high tempo but we should still enough possessions here to cover the spread. Old Dominion can erase more shots than almost any other mid major and I think they comfortably cover this number. Oddsmakers were sleeping when they set this spread

Virginia Tech +9.5 vs Villanova

  • Villanova has won both of their first contests by nine points but face their toughest test yet here in Virginia Tech. You do not get rich betting against Jay Wright and Villanova, but this team has looked vulnerable to start the season and I think this spread is just a bit too wide
  • Virginia Tech plays very good on the defensive side of the ball and I imagine this game stays relatively low scoring. Both take their time on the offensive end and will likely struggle to find open shots today. We mainly just need to fade Collin Gillespie catching fire
  • Cartier Diarra is a transfer from Kansas State that will have an immediate impact on this Hokies squad. Running the point against Villanova is a tough task but I like his willingness to share the basketball and ability to make plays inside the paint. He could be the difference in this game

BYU -17.5 vs Utah Valley

  • I expect BYU cruises to an easy victory in this game. They already have two wins under their belt this season by a 37-point average margin of victory. Playing against a Utah Valley team that has yet to see Division I action this year makes me expect a blowout here
  • Richard Harward at center for BYU will likely limit Utah Valley’s effectiveness in the paint. He platoons with several other talented forwards on this roster who can all play well on both ends of the floor. The team is very experienced and are expected to beat this level of competition
  • BYU does a poor job defending shots beyond the arc but Utah Valley is not a team that beats you by raining down threes. 30 percent is the ceiling for Mark Madsen’s squad when it comes to outside shots and I just do not see enough falling for them in this contest

Let’s win today Playmakers! I am confident in every pick that I provide and play them myself. College basketball is unpredictable and that’s why we love it, so always bet smart!