2021 Valspar Championship – PGA DFS – 04/29 Top Plays

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Hello Playmakers! PGA DFS Golf is back again with PGA Tour’s 2021 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort this week. DPA Staff Colin Lynch here and excited to bring you my breakdown of this event!

The tournament features a 161 player field consisting of PGA Tour regulars. These players will tee off against one another starting Thursday 6:55AM EDT at Innisbrook Resort, located in Palm Harbor, Florida. The course will play as a par 71 measuring over 7,300 yards and will feature narrow fairways, overhanging trees, and Bermuda grass. The Top 65 and Tied make the cut for the weekend after the completion of 36 holes.

Top Tier Targets

Justin Thomas ($11,500)

Justin Thomas is in terrific form coming off a win at The Players Championship and a Top 25 finish at The Masters. Thomas is an elite iron player that ranks first in the field in strokes gained on approach. JT also ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained around the green, and he’s number one in total strokes gained on Florida courses. Thomas is well rested and the course seems to set up perfectly for his game. JT posted back to back Top 20 finishes here in 2015 and 2016.

Corey Conners ($9,600)

Conners is an elite ball striker that’s been red hot as of late. He has quietly made fourteen of his last fifteen cuts on tour, posting seven Top 10’s in that span. He has five straight Top 15 finishes (4th, 8th, 14th, 7th, 3rd) on tour and he has shown no signs of letting up. Conners ranks first in the field in total strokes gained and strokes gained tee to green over the last twenty four rounds. He posted a Top 20 finish (18th) here in his debut in 2018.

Abraham Ancer ($9,300)

Ancer is coming off a Top 20 finish at The RBC Heritage marking his sixth consecutive made cut and Top 30 finish on tour (18th, 26th, 23rd, 18th, 22nd, 18th). Abe is a consistent all around golfer that peppers fairways and greens. He limits mistakes, is good with his irons, and is one of the most accurate off the tee. Ancer ranks Top 15 in the field in strokes gained on approach and also ranks Top 20 strokes gained ball striking. He posted a Top 20 finish (16th) here in his debut during 2018.

Sungjae Im ($9,200)

Im is a Bermuda specialist that ranks first in the field in strokes gained off the tee. He’s coming off a Top 15 finish (13th) at The RBC Heritage. Sungjae is a golfer that I always like to target on short Bermuda tracks. He has a great history playing in Florida and he ranks 2nd (behind JT) in total strokes gained on Florida courses. Im ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained putting and Top 20 in birdie or better percentage. He posted a Top 5 finish here in his debut in 2019.

Middle Tier Targets

Jason Kokrak ($8,700)

Kokrak is an elite ball striker that has posted Top 10 finishes in three of his last four stroke play events on tour (49th, 9th, 8th, 9th). He ranks Top 10 in the field (and on tour) in strokes gained ball striking and strokes gained putting. Kokrak has quietly made ten straight cut on tour and he’s posted Top 10 finishes in each of his last two starts at this course.

Charley Hoffman ($8,600)

Hoffman is coming off two Top 20 finishes (11th, 18th) at The Zurich Classic and RBC Heritage. Charley ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained on approach. His irons have been red hot lately, highlighted by 4.5 strokes gained on approach in five of his last eight events. Hoffman has quietly made eight consecutive cuts on tour, highlighted by six Top 20’s, including three Top 10’s in that span (11th 18th, 2nd, 34th, 17th, 10th, 52nd, 7th). He posted a Top 20 finish (18th) here in his last appearance in 2019.

Keegan Bradley ($7,900)

Keegan is another elite ball striker that I will have my eye on when building line ups this week. Bradley ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained on approach and also ranks Top 25 in birdie or better percentage and strokes gained off the tee. Keegan has gained stroked on approach in sixteen straight events on tour. He has quietly posted five Top 30 finishes in his last six stroke play events on tour (23rd, 30th, 29th, 10th, 60th, 22nd).

Value Tier Targets

Denny McCarthy ($7,500)

Denny is coming off a Top 15 finish (13th) at The RBC Heritage two weeks ago. He has quietly made five consecutive cuts on tour, posting three Top 26 finishes in that span (13th, 34th, 3rd, 55th, 26th). McCarthy has gained strokes on approach in four straight starts on tour. He hits a lot of fairways and is one the best putters in the field. Denny posted a Top 10 finish (9th) here in his debut in 2019.

Doug Ghim ($7,300)

Ghim is one of the most imporved players on the PGA tour. The former number one ranked amateur golfer in the world has made thirteen of his last seventeen cuts on tour, including seven Top 25 finishes. Ghim ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained tee to green, Top 15 in strokes gained approach, and Top 20 in strokes gained ball striking.

Honorable Mentions

Russell Henley ($9,000)

Ryan Palmer ($8,500)

Emiliano Grillo ($8,300)

Chris Kirk ($8,200)

Sam Burns ($7,900)

Punts/Value

Lucas Glover ($7,700)

Charles Howell III ($7,700)

Cameron Davis ($7,500)

Chase Seiffert ($6,600)

Wesley Bryan ($6,400)

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