Hello Playmakers! PGA DFS Golf is back with the PGA Tour’s 2021 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club this weekend. DPA Staff Colin Lynch here and excited to bring you my breakdown of this Major event!
The tournament features a 88 player field consisting of PGA Tour and European Tour regulars. These players will tee off against one another starting Thursday 8:00am EDT at Augusta National Golf Club located in Augusta, Georgia. The course will play as a par 72 measuring over 7,400 yards and will feature Bentgrass greens. The Top 50 and tied will make the cut for the weekend after the completion of 36 holes.
Top Tier Targets
Jon Rahm ($11,000)
Rahm comes into Masters Week seeking to capture his first green jacket and first Major Championship win, and what better way to do it after the birth of his first child! The Spaniard’s golf game sets up extremely well for Augusta National. He’s an elite ball striker and tee to green golfer that currently ranks number one and number two in the field in strokes gained ball striking and strokes gained tee to green. Rahm has made twenty consecutive cuts on tour and has quietly posted Top 10 finishes in seven of his last nine starts (5th, 9th, 32nd, 5th, 13th, 7th, 7th, 7th, 2nd). Rahm also has great course history here, highlighted by three Top 10’s (7th, 9th, 4th) in his last three trips.
Bryson DeChambeau ($10,800)
Big Daddy Bryson is coming off a couple of great finishes, as he posted his first win of the season at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and then followed that up with a 3rd place at The Players Championship. Bryson also quietly gained 9.3 strokes on approach in his last two events. He is a bomber off the tee that ranks number one in the field in both strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained off the tee. Bryson also ranks number one in par 5 scoring and I expect him to feast on the four par 5’s here.
Justin Thomas ($10,600)
JT enters Masters Week on the heels of a first place finish at The Players Championship. He’s an elite tee to green golfer who is arguably the best iron player in the field. He gained nearly thirteen strokes tee to green at THE PLAYERS. Thomas clearly loves Majors and his game sets up beautifully for Augusta. JT has played better each and every year with progressively better finishes here the last five years. He’s 5/5 in made cuts here with four Top 25 finishes, including a Top 5 (4th) in November.
Jordan Spieth ($9,300)
Spieth captured his first PGA Tour win since 2017 last weekend at The Valero Texas Open. Jordan has been playing some amazing golf recently and he’s now gotten a taste of what it’s like to be back on top. Spieth has been gaining a ton of strokes Tee to green and he has now posted four Top 10’s and a win in his last seven starts on Tour. He ranks Top 5 in the field in strokes gained approach and also ranks Top 10 in Birdie or better percentage. Spieth has some of the best course history at Augusta National in the entire field and he’s underpriced across the industry. He has posted finishes of 10th, 36th, and 3rd in his last three trips to Augusta.
Middle Tier Targets
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,100)
Fitzpatrick has been playing some of the best and most consistent golf of his career. Fitz has posted six Top 20’s In his last seven starts worldwide, including a win over on the Euro Tour (9th, 10, 11th, 5th, 17th, 67th, 1st). He’s great with his long irons and he has one of the best short games in the field. Matt ranks Top 25 in the field in birdie or better percentage and strokes gained off the tee. He has also quietly made his last five cuts at Augusta National.
Paul Casey ($7,700)
Casey enters Masters Week in amazing form and he’s another golfer that is currently playing the best and most consistent golf of his career. Casey has six starts worldwide this year and every one of his starts has resulted in Top 15 finish (5th, 10th, 5th, 12th, 1st, 8th). Paul ranks Top 15 in the field in strokes gained approach and he’s recently been red hot with his irons, highlighted by seventeen plus strokes gained over his last four events. Casey is one of my favorite values on the slate, he posted three consecutive Top 6 finishes here between 2015 and 2017.
Joaquin Niemann ($7,400)
Niemann is another great tee to green golfer that is one of the better ball strikers in the field. He has ten Top 30 finishes in his last twelve starts on tour this year and he hasn’t missed a cut since August (12 straight). Niemann tends to play his best on Bentgrass and his Vegas odds are much better than those priced around him on DraftKings. Niemann ranks Top 5 in the field in strokes gained ball striking, and ranks Top 25 in bogey avoidance and par 5 scoring.
Value Tier Targets
Corey Connors ($6,900)
Conners is by far my favorite value play of the week and I’ll be eating the cheap chalk instead of fading. He has three straight Top 15 finishes on tour (3rd, 7th, 14th) and he’s missed only one cut in his last thirteen starts. He ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained off the tee, Top 20 in birdie or better percentage, and Top 5 in strokes gained on approach and strokes gained ball striking. Conners has two starts at Augusta National in his career (2/2), highlighted by a Top 10 finish in November.
Ryan Palmer ($6,500)
Palmer has been a Top 20 machine all season long and he’s dirt cheap this week. He has made eleven straight cuts and has quietly posted six Top 20’s in his last nine starts (17th, 17th, 54th, 42nd, 2nd, 41st, 4th, 4th, 17th) on tour. Palmer hasn’t missed a cut since September and he’s made two of his last three cuts at Augusta, highlighted by a Top 10 finish.
Patrick Cantlay ($9,800)
Tony Finau ($9,100)
Cameron Smith ($8,200)
Louis Oosthuizen ($7,500)
Abraham Ancer ($7,400)
Jason Kokrak ($6,900)
Brian Harman ($6,800)
Si Woo Kim ($6,700)
Sebastian Munoz ($6,600)
Lanto Griffin ($6,400)
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