2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational – PGA DFS – 03/04 Top Plays


Hello Playmakers! PGA DFS Golf is back with PGA Tour’s 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge this week. DPA Staff Colin Lynch here and excited to bring you my breakdown of this event!

The tournament features a 123 player field consisting of PGA Tour and European Tour regulars. These players will tee off against one another starting Thursday 7:00am EDT at Bay Hill Club & Lodge, located in Orlando, Florida. The course will play as a par 72 measuring over 7,400 yards and will feature Bermuda greens. The Top 65 and Tied make the cut for the weekend after the completion of 36 holes.

Top Tier Targets

Rory Mcllroy ($11,500)

Rory was featured in last weeks article and he came through posting a 6th place finish at The WGC Workday Championship. Mcllroy managed to gain strokes in all four facets (tee, approach, around green, green) last week and I’ll be hopping right back on again at Bay Hill. Rory is one of the best drivers of the golf ball in world and this course sets up beautifully for his game. We know the form is there, and we know Bermuda is by far his best putting surface. Rory has the best course history in the field at this event, highlighted by four straight Top 6’s (5th, 6th, 1st, 4th).

Viktor Hovland ($10,600)

Hovland makes the article again for the third consecutive week. He’s been on absolute fire and coming off a 2nd place finish last week at The WGC Workday Championship. In his last six events worldwide, Viktor has five Top 6 finishes (2nd, 5th, 6th, 2nd, 31st, 1st) and he hasn’t missed a cut in twenty one starts on tour. Hovland is an elite ball stiker who leads the field in total strokes gained over the last fifty rounds. He also ranks Top 10 on tour in strokes gained ball striking and strokes gained tee to green.

Sungjae Im ($9,700)

Sungjae is a Bermuda Specialist who has a great track record playing in the state of Florida. He posted a Top 30 (28th) finish last week and he now returns to a course where he’s posted back to back 3rd place finishes the last two years. It’s safe to say Im loves playing here. In last years event, he ranked 3rd in total drving, 2nd in greens in regulation, 3rd in proximity, and 5th in par 5 scoring. Im ranks Top 10 (in the field) in strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained ball striking. Bermuda is his best putting surface.

Middle Tier Targets

Sam Burns ($8,400)

Burns posted a 3rd place finish and nearly won at The Genesis Invitational his last time out. He’s a bomber that can putt and he’s very good on Bermuda tracks. He ranks Top 5 in strokes gained off the tee and also ranks inside the Top 15 in strokes gained putting. Burns is in solid form right now, posting Top 25’s in three of his last four events on tour. He possesses big birdie upside and ranks Top 10 in the field in strokes gained off the tee. Sam has three career starts at this event and has yet to miss a cut.

Jason Kokrak ($8,100)

Kokrak enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational on the heels of a 9th place finish last week. He was one of ten golfers last week to not record a single double bogey on their score card. Jason is one of the more consistent golfers on the PGA TOUR, he’s an elite ball striker with an underated short game. Since the start of the new year, he’s made six straight cuts and hasn’t missed one yet. Kokrak has some great course history at this event, highlighted by three Top 10’s among five Top 20’s, including a 18th and 10th his last two starts.

Value Tier Targets

Cameron Tringale ($7,700)

Tringale is in great form and he continues to play very solid gold. Cameron has four consecutive Top 26 finishes on tour (26th, 7th, 17th, 18th). He’s a well rounded golfer that is good off the tee, great with his irons, and fantastic at making birdies and limiting bogeys. Tringale ranks Top 10 in both bogey avoidance and birdie or better percentage. He’s made three straight cuts at this event and posted a Top 30 finish in his last start here.

Corey Conners ($7,300)

Conners is my favorite value play on the slate. He’s coming off a missed cut ‘on the number’ at the Genesis Inivational but made nine straight prior. Corey is one of the better ball strikers in the field and he’s a significantly better golfer than those priced around him. Conners tee to green game is elite, he ranks Top 10 in strokes gained approach and Top 20 in birdie or better percentage and bogey avoidance. In his last ten starts on tour, Conners has posted seven Top 25 finishes.

Honorable Mentions

Bryson DeChambeau ($11,000)

Tyrrell Hatton ($10,000)

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,800)

Francesco Molinari ($8,700)

Ian Poulter ($7,300)


Zach Johnson ($6,900)

Matthew NeSmith ($6,900)

Erik Van Rooyen ($6,900)

Doug Ghim ($6,600)

Adam Long ($6,400)

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